![]() ![]() Rest of regional Victoria: Movement There are no restrictions on movement within regional. During a pandemic, lockdowns may not inhibit appropriate hospital attendance where rates of infectious disease are low. A curfew remains in place in Melbourne from 9:00pm to 5:00am, but that rule does not apply to Ballarat. CONCLUSIONS: Our analyses suggest citizens were willing and able to present with life-threatening conditions during Melbourne's lockdowns, and that switching to telemedicine did not cause widespread spill-over from primary care into ED. Presentations persisted at expected levels for urgent conditions, and ED triage categories 1 and 5, with clear reductions in categories 2-4. Reductions were most marked among those aged >80 and <18 years. Substantial departures from forecasted presentation levels were observed during both waves in the ED and acute settings, and during the second wave in subacute. RESULTS: ED presentations (n=401 805), acute admissions (n=371 723) and subacute admissions (n=15 676) were analysed. Data were analysed for all patients residing in the health service catchment area presenting between 4 January 2016 and 20 September 2020. Observed activity was compared with forecasts overall, by age, triage category and for myocardial infarction and stroke. METHODS: We used 4 years of historical data and novel forecasting methods to predict counterfactual hospital activity for 2020, assuming absence of COVID-19. We explore the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on acute, subacute and emergency department (ED) presentations/admissions within a tertiary, metropolitan health service in Melbourne, Australia, over two waves of community transmission (1 March to 20 September 2020). The impact of such restrictions on healthcare-seeking behaviour is not comprehensively understood, but is of global importance. Andrew NE Peninsula Health, Frankston Hospital, Frankston, Victoria, Australia.ĪBSTRACT BACKGROUND: Melbourne, Australia, successfully halted exponential transmission of COVID-19 via two strict lockdowns during 2020.Cooper H Peninsula Health, Frankston Hospital, Frankston, Victoria, Australia.Krivitsky TA Peninsula Health, Frankston Hospital, Frankston, Victoria, Australia.Braun G Peninsula Health, Frankston Hospital, Frankston, Victoria, Australia.Dowling J Peninsula Health, Frankston Hospital, Frankston, Victoria, Australia.Menon S Peninsula Clinical School, Monash University Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences, Frankston, Victoria, Australia. ![]() Mcinnes N Peninsula Health, Frankston Hospital, Frankston, Victoria, Australia.Matthews C National Centre for Healthy Aging, Frankston, Victoria, Australia.Tiruvoipati R Peninsula Clinical School, Monash University Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences, Frankston, Victoria, Australia.Srikanth V Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, Monash University Faculty of Business and Economics, Caulfield East, Victoria, Australia.Collyer TA Peninsula Clinical School, Monash University Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences, Frankston, Victoria, Australia Athanasopoulos G National Centre for Healthy Aging, Frankston, Victoria, Australia. ![]()
0 Comments
Leave a Reply. |
AuthorWrite something about yourself. No need to be fancy, just an overview. ArchivesCategories |